Bitcoin Daily Prediction 2026-05-04
- Version: Demo (demo)
- Reference Date: May 4, 2026
- Reference Horizon: 7 days
- Target Date: May 11, 2026
- Current Price: $79.7K
- Generated At: 2026-05-04T08:01:01.000Z
Executive Summary
Bitcoin is in a modest up‑trend after a 4.4% weekly rally and a 15.5% gain over the past month. Low MVRV‑Z (0.35) and rising reserve‑risk suggest valuation room, while bearish pressure from increasing short‑term holder supply, higher dormancy and falling realized profit temper optimism. The composite view points to continued upside over the next year, with the strongest confidence on longer horizons and a moderate chance of short‑term correction.
Price Predictions
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
---
config:
xyChart:
height: 450
showDataLabel: true
themeVariables:
xyChart:
titleColor: "#000000ff"
plotColorPalette: "#000000ff, #aeaeaeff, #aeaeaeff, #aeaeaeff"
---
xychart-beta
title "_This feature is deactivated in the demo version_"
x-axis ["Apr 28", "Apr 29", "Apr 30", "May 1", "May 2", "May 3", "May 4", "May 11", "May 18", "May 25"]
y-axis "Price ($)"73800 --> 88200
bar "Historical Price"[76340, 75783, 76348, 78233, 78685, 78574, 79694, 0, 0, 0]
Market Overview
- Market Phase: Uptrend
- Expected Return: +2.8%
- Confidence: Medium (71%)
Direction Probability
█████████████████▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░░
UP: 55% │ SIDEWAYS: 30% │ DOWN: 15%
Critical Price Levels
- Support: Lowest $75.0K, Medium $77.0K, Highest $79.0K
- Resistance: Lowest $83.0K, Medium $85.0K, Highest $87.0K
Forecast Record for Today’s Price
| Created |
Predicted |
Realized |
Accuracy |
Direction |
Decision |
| May 3 |
$78.0K |
$79.7K |
97.8% |
Sideways |
b63ee85c |
| Apr 30 |
$73.8K |
$79.7K |
92.0% |
Up |
7b3e116a |
| Apr 27 |
$78.5K |
$79.7K |
98.5% |
Sideways |
c424f5de |
| ★Apr 26 |
$79.5K |
$79.7K |
99.8% |
Sideways |
e85ea453 |
| Apr 24 |
$81.0K |
$79.7K |
98.4% |
Sideways |
3abb7754 |
| Apr 20 |
$75.1K |
$79.7K |
93.8% |
Up |
4d2a530a |
| Apr 17 |
$76.0K |
$79.7K |
95.1% |
Sideways |
6ff63670 |
Key Insights
- MVRV‑Z has surged >120% in the past month, indicating a shift from deep undervaluation toward more balanced pricing.
- Short‑term holder activity (supply increase, rising dormancy) injects bearish pressure that could cause short‑term pull‑backs.
- Reserve Risk remains well above the extreme‑top threshold (0.024), suggesting ample upside risk‑reward for long‑term holders.
- Long‑term holder supply net negative and unrealized loss decreasing reinforce a bullish structural backdrop.
Market Signals
- Price momentum (up 4.4% 7d)
- MVRV‑Z rapid rise (+13.1%)
- Short‑term holder supply increase (bearish)
Time-Sensitive Triggers
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
️ Key Risks
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
Methodology
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
Disclaimer: The predictions displayed in this app are generated by an AI and are intended for informational and research purposes only. This page does not provide financial, investment, or trading advice. You should not directly rely on these predictions for making investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.