Bitcoin Daily Prediction 2026-02-15
- Version: Demo (demo)
- Reference Date: February 15, 2026
- Reference Horizon: 7 days
- Target Date: February 22, 2026
- Current Price: $70.9K
- Generated At: 2026-02-15T08:00:18.000Z
Executive Summary
Bitcoin is currently in a fragile down‑trend after a sharp correction from a February high near $95k to $70.9k. On‑chain metrics (MVRV‑Z at 0.19, Reserve Risk 0.22) are at historically low, long‑term holder net outflows are deepening and short‑term holder activity (supply change +3.1k, dormancy 78.7) is rising – all bearish signals. A modest rebound (+6.9% on Feb 6) hints at a short‑term bounce, but the dominant on‑chain picture points to further downside over the medium term, with the market likely entering an accumulation phase at lower levels.
Price Predictions
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
---
config:
xyChart:
height: 450
showDataLabel: true
themeVariables:
xyChart:
titleColor: "#000000ff"
plotColorPalette: "#000000ff, #aeaeaeff, #aeaeaeff, #aeaeaeff"
---
xychart-beta
title "_This feature is deactivated in the demo version_"
x-axis ["Feb 9", "Feb 10", "Feb 11", "Feb 12", "Feb 13", "Feb 14", "Feb 15", "Feb 22", "Feb 27", "Mar 1"]
y-axis "Price ($)"65100 --> 75900
bar "Historical Price"[70138, 68841, 67094, 66259, 68854, 69782, 70860, 0, 0, 0]
Market Overview
- Market Phase: Downtrend
- Expected Return: +1.5%
- Confidence: Medium (68%)
Direction Probability
███████████▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░░░░
UP: 38% │ SIDEWAYS: 38% │ DOWN: 24%
Critical Price Levels
- Support: Lowest $68.0K, Medium $67.0K, Highest $66.0K
- Resistance: Lowest $73.0K, Medium $74.0K, Highest $75.0K
Forecast Record for Today’s Price
| Created |
Predicted |
Realized |
Accuracy |
Direction |
Decision |
| ★Feb 9 |
$71.0K |
$70.9K |
99.8% |
Sideways |
93406fb1 |
| Feb 8 |
$63.0K |
$70.9K |
87.5% |
Up |
be092255 |
| Feb 1 |
$76.0K |
$70.9K |
93.2% |
Down |
9f490901 |
Key Insights
- On‑chain valuation (MVRV‑Z) is at a multi‑year low, indicating strong downside bias.
- Reserve Risk has fallen to 0.22, historically seen before prolonged bearish phases.
- Short‑term holder activity is increasing while long‑term holders are net selling, suggesting capitulation.
- Dormancy rising above 78 days signals that coins are being held longer before moving, typical of accumulation zones.
- Supply‑in‑loss percentage at 31% (near historic peaks) underscores that a large share of holders are underwater, limiting upward pressure.
Market Signals
- Bitcoin Price downtrend
- MVRV‑Z falling
- Reserve Risk low
- Short‑Term Holder Supply up
- Dormancy up
Time-Sensitive Triggers
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
️ Key Risks
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
Methodology
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
Disclaimer: The predictions displayed in this app are generated by an AI and are intended for informational and research purposes only. This page does not provide financial, investment, or trading advice. You should not directly rely on these predictions for making investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.