Bitcoin Daily Forecast 2025-12-18
- Version: Demo
- Reference Date: December 18, 2025
- Reference Horizon: 7 days
- Target Date: December 22, 2025
- Current Price: $86.8K
- Generated At: 2025-12-18T08:00:40.000Z
Executive Summary
Bitcoin is currently in a bearish‑to‑sideways regime. The price has slipped ≈5 % over the past month and ≈25 % since the September peak, while on‑chain fundamentals (low MVRV‑Z, low Reserve Risk, rising short‑term holder supply and falling long‑term holder supply) reinforce downside pressure. A modest rebound is possible if long‑term holders start re‑accumulating, but near‑term catalysts (US‑Fed data, regulatory announcements) add volatility risk.
Most Probable Price by Dec 22
- Direction: This feature is deactivated in the demo version from current $86.8K
- Medium Probability Scenario: $86.6K (40%)
- Lowest Probability Scenario: $88.8K (20%)
---
config:
xyChart:
height: 450
showDataLabel: true
themeVariables:
xyChart:
titleColor: "#000000ff"
plotColorPalette: "#000000ff, #aeaeaeff, #aeaeaeff, #aeaeaeff"
---
xychart-beta
title "_This feature is deactivated in the demo version_"
x-axis ["Dec 12", "Dec 13", "Dec 14", "Dec 15", "Dec 16", "Dec 17", "Dec 18", "Dec 22", "Dec 25", "Dec 30"]
y-axis "Price ($)"72000 --> 96000
bar "Historical Price"[90268, 90240, 88157, 86432, 87863, 86243, 86817, 0, 0, 0]
Market Overview
- Market Phase: Accumulation
- Expected Return: -2.1%
- Confidence: Medium (73%)
Direction Probability
████████▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░░░░
UP: 25% │ SIDEWAYS: 45% │ DOWN: 30%
Critical Price Levels
- Support: Lowest $80.0K, Medium $77.0K, Highest $74.0K
- Resistance: Lowest $88.0K, Medium $91.0K, Highest $94.0K
Forecast Record for Today’s Price
| Created |
Predicted |
Realized |
Accuracy |
Direction |
Decision |
| ★Dec 11 |
$89.3K |
$86.8K |
97.2% |
Sideways |
0dd5f0a0 |
| Dec 8 |
$92.0K |
$86.8K |
94.4% |
Down |
aff22427 |
Key Insights
- Price is falling while fundamentals (low MVRV‑Z, low Reserve Risk) suggest undervaluation, creating a potential accumulation opportunity.
- Short‑term holder activity is increasingly bearish (rising supply, falling realized profit), pressuring price further.
- Long‑term holder net supply is near zero, indicating limited re‑accumulation at present.
- Unrealized losses are at historic highs, a bullish sign if a reversal occurs.
- Near‑term macro events (Fed policy, regulatory announcements) dominate short‑term risk.
Market Signals
- Bitcoin price down 3.8 % (7 d)
- MVRV‑Z low at 0.565 (bullish bias but still below top‑zone)
- Reserve Risk at 0.519 (bearish, near historical top‑risk threshold)
- Short‑term holder supply change positive (bearish)
Time-Sensitive Triggers
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
️ Key Risks
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
Methodology
This feature is deactivated in the demo version
Disclaimer: The predictions displayed in this app are generated by an AI and are intended for informational and research purposes only. This page does not provide financial, investment, or trading advice. You should not directly rely on these predictions for making investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.